[NL20-NL50] NL25sh - AQ vs unknown

    • urmo1
      urmo1
      Black
      Joined: 02.03.2008 Posts: 718
      Hello
      Opponent was unknown (100/43 after 7 hands)
      My questions is about the river decision.
      What´s best vs unknown on that river, bet or check to induce bet?


      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $26.49 (106 bb)
      BTN: $18.98 (75.9 bb)
      Hero (SB): $25 (100 bb)
      BB: $25 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with A Q
      CO calls $0.25, BTN calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1.45, 2 folds, BTN calls $1.20

      Flop: ($3.40) A 6 8 (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.60, BTN calls $2.60

      Turn: ($8.60) 2 (2 players)
      Hero bets $6.60, BTN calls $6.60

      River: ($21.80) 4 (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $8.33, Hero calls $8.33
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi urmo1,

      definitely a bet!!! He is 100 VPIP, he has every AX hand in the deck.

      We lose to
      Flushes
      A2/A6/A8/A4/AK

      We beat
      A3/A5/A7/A9/AT/AJ

      I think we should discount AK from his preflop range. I think he shoves Turn with many two-pairs a lot of the time.

      With the Queen of diamond, I think we block quite a number of possible flush combinations as well.

      Thus, I think we are ahead of his calling range here perhaps 55-60% of the time. I'm not too sure about exact numbers but I think we have a value bet.