[NL20-NL50] NL25sh AJ, flop oesd TQ9, cbet oop?

    • member001
      member001
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.03.2010 Posts: 288
      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players

      BTN: $32.96 (131.8 bb)
      SB: $18.75 (75 bb)
      Hero (BB): $71.33 (285.3 bb)
      UTG: $11.44 (45.8 bb) unknown
      MP: $18.01 (72 bb)
      CO: $25 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with J A
      UTG calls $0.25, 2 folds, BTN calls $0.25, SB folds, Hero raises to $1.10, UTG calls $0.85, BTN folds

      Flop: ($2.55) T Q 9 (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.60, UTG calls $1.60

      Turn: ($5.75) K (2 players)
      Hero bets $3.60, UTG calls $3.60

      River: ($12.95) A (2 players)
      Hero bets $5.20, UTG folds


      Villain is unknown but presumably bad given stack size and limp/call UTG.

      I don't think I like my cbet here, despite getting lucky on the next street. I have very little fold equity on such a flop. Or is it still ok with OESD + initiative against limper's weak range?
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Hmmm.. he is not that deep.. You could consider check/shoving flop. Being OOP you'd usually want to get in money asap with both value hands and strong draws. This is a decent draw, not awesome but it's not hard to have a nice range here. What you need to consider though is how often he bets IP vs a missed cbet. If he's unlikely to bet, I like potting or slight overbetting and call off or shoving turns. I could be convinced it's not the most awesome play but it's probably better than check/folding.