[NL20-NL50] JJ 4bet broke

    • daisuke3823
      daisuke3823
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.02.2008 Posts: 8,321
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      ハンドをプレーする

      $0.1/$0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      BU:
      $11.74
      SB:
      $9.80
      BB:
      $33.46
      MP2:
      $27.45
      MP3:
      $13.36
      CO (Hero):
      $26.82


      Preflop: Hero is CO with J, J.
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.62, BU calls $0.62, SB folds, BB raises to $2.75, Hero calls $2.13, BU folds.

      Flop: ($6.22) 6, K, Q (2 players)
      BB bets $3.25, Hero folds, BB gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $6.22.
      his stats in 452 hands vpip20 pfr18 af2,1 wtsd30 w$SD69 netwon+22       3BET9  squeeze 6    
      in total he reraised 4 times against me

      can I go 4BET broke here?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Daisuke,

      Preflop: ~100 BB deep with aggressive history I would 4-bet/call here.

      A lot of our profit will come from him folding his 3-bet and us collecting the 16 big blinds in the pot.

      His squeeze is 11 BB so I'd make our 4-bet no larger than 23-24 BB which means that once he shoves we need roughly 37% equity to call.

      Now, with JJ, against a nutty range of QQ+, AK we have 36.2% so close enough since he can also shove worse hands on occasion (one combo of TT puts us at almost 38%).

      But again the value does not come from calling the shove but rather the actual 4 bet and dead money we collect.