[NL20-NL50] NL25 SH - A5s: trips

    • Lunitis
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,136
      SB: 20/16/2.5
      8% call sb vs steal
      7.6% 3bet overall
      68% fold vs cbet flop
      43% fold vs cbet turn
      28% wtsd
      3.5k hands

      BB: 38/17/1.3
      59% fold vs cbet flop
      800 hands

      MP: $22.40 (89.6 bb)
      CO: $45.05 (180.2 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $26 (104 bb)
      SB: $34.95 (139.8 bb)
      BB: $38.08 (152.3 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with A:spade: 5:spade:
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, SB calls $0.65, BB calls $0.50

      Flop: ($2.25) 9:heart: T:spade: 5:club: (3 players)
      SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $1.20, SB calls $1.20, BB folds

      Turn: ($4.65) 5:diamond: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $3.05, SB calls $3.05

      River: ($10.75) K:diamond: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero

      There is value to bet the river? I have a good hand but cant see him calling with much worst but i can see him showing up QJ easily.
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Lunitis,

      Preflop/flop/turn: looks good.

      River: What do you think villains range is on the river?

      I think it's made up of: Tx (including T9), JJ (if he doesn't 3-bet preflop with fish behind), QJ/78 and that's about it.

      On the river we steal beat Tx/JJ but now lose to a few combos of QJ. Since I can't expect villain to turn a made hand into a bluff (and there are few other possible bluffs in his range) I wouldn't be afraid to bet/fold the river.
      I feel that 1/2-2/3 pot bet can still get called by Tx hands since he may think we are bluffing the high card (notice his higher than average WTSD).