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[NL2-NL10] Aqo2

    • Dracsharp
      Dracsharp
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2010 Posts: 2,478
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Replayer
      SB ($5.13)
      Hero ($8.49)
      UTG ($5.32)
      CO ($2.73)
      BTN ($5)

      Dealt to Hero Q:heart: A:spade:

      fold, CO calls $0.05, BTN raises to $0.20, fold, Hero calls $0.15, CO calls $0.15

      FLOP ($0.62) 3:club: 2:heart: Q:spade:

      Hero checks, CO checks, BTN bets $0.40, Hero calls $0.40, CO folds

      TURN ($1.42) 3:club: 2:heart: Q:spade: 3:diamond:

      Hero checks, BTN bets $0.80, Hero calls $0.80

      RIVER ($3.02) 3:club: 2:heart: Q:spade: 3:diamond: J:club:

      Hero checks, BTN bets $2.20, Hero calls $2.20

      BTN shows 2:spade: 3:spade:
      (Pre 37%, Flop 73.0%, Turn 95.5%)

      Hero shows Q:heart: A:spade:
      (Pre 63%, Flop 27.0%, Turn 4.5%)

      BTN wins $6.93

  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hey Dracsharp,

      Preflop: I don't mind the call to play with fish and regular (with a nice hand). However we can also 3-bet to capitalize on the dead money and possibly isolate CO.

      Flop: The board is dry enough that we can expect BTN to cbet bluff. On more connected boards we should bet out to isolate the fish.

      Turn: Villain can still bet worse Qx so we can call again.

      River: We now lose to QJ along with 33, 22, QQ, KK, AA.

      I find it hard to believe that villain will bet much worse on the river. I can't see him betting as a bluff nor betting something like KQ. In the worst case scenario he bets AQ for a split plus all of the above.

      So on the river we have to check/fold (even though sample is not huge look at his river aggression - these guys don't value bet thin or bluff).