[NL2-NL10] tt

    • Dracsharp
      Dracsharp
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2010 Posts: 2,478
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Replayer
      SB ($5.33)
      BB ($2)
      Hero ($5.28)
      CO ($4.73)
      BTN ($6.05)

      Dealt to Hero T:heart: T:spade:

      Hero raises to $0.17, fold, fold, SB calls $0.15, BB calls $0.12

      FLOP ($0.51) K:diamond: 2:spade: K:spade:

      SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $0.40, SB calls $0.40, BB folds

      TURN ($1.31) K:diamond: 2:spade: K:spade: K:club:

      SB checks, Hero bets $0.80, SB calls $0.80

      RIVER ($2.91) K:diamond: 2:spade: K:spade: K:club: 4:heart:

      SB bets $3.96 (AI), Hero folds

      SB wins $2.72

  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hey Dracsharp,

      Preflop: looks good

      Flop: We have the best hand here often and versus two people we can bet for value/protection (especially since SB is very fishy).

      Turn: Villain is never folding a pair now so I to valuebet and I'd make it at least $1 or so so we don't have to overbet the river much (and get as much in as possible now).

      River: First, all draws miss and while he may not call turn with them some fish do. Secondly fish overvalue fullhouses here and thirdly his aggression on the river 8.0 with 40% frequency over 50 hands. That tells me that he loves to bet the river, and all that can't be for value (or just nuts). On top of it his W$SD is only 42% despite him going to showdowns only 26%

      So based on the above I'd snap this shove and sure he shows a Kx or Jj but he will also show a 2x, 4x, 55, etc (even A high/busted draw).