[NL20-NL50] NL25sh - QQ close?

    • Farmarchist
      Farmarchist
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640
      Hey,

      Should we bet the turn? It's close cause he could have floated a lot of Ax and he now folds PP's. I thought we were in such a tough spot if we check and then it's maybe best to check/fold.

      Poker Stars $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2022737
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BTN: $25.00 - VPIP: 29, PFR: 18, 3B: 0, AF: 0.4, Hands: 28
      SB: $25.85 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 17, 3B: 2, AF: 5.2, Hands: 180
      BB: $13.34 - VPIP: 26, PFR: 9, 3B: 13, AF: 7.0, Hands: 23
      Hero (UTG): $27.72 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 14, 3B: 6, AF: 3.6, Hands: 540805
      MP: $19.15 - VPIP: 42, PFR: 28, 3B: 12, AF: 0.0, Hands: 50
      CO: $45.38 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 13, 3B: 3, AF: 9.0, Hands: 197

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is UTG with Q :diamond: Q :spade:
      Hero raises to $0.75, 2 folds, BTN calls $0.75, 2 folds

      Flop: ($1.85) 2 :spade: 7 :spade: 2 :heart: (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.25, BTN calls $1.25

      Turn: ($4.35) A :heart: (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.50, BTN folds
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi Farma,

      I still think you should bet the Turn. Given his tightness, he rarely has AJo here. Only AX in his range is AXs, AQ (but we block 2 Qs) and maybe AK if he flats that vs a UTG raise.

      I think he has way more pocketpairs than AX, and he doesn't necessarily fold the Turn with them, given that there are 2 flush draws. I expect him to call again with 88-JJ really often.