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[NL20-NL50] [sh] NL 50 nut fh vs flop x/r on 888 board

    • DeMarcohsp
      DeMarcohsp
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      On Game, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BB: $48.94 (97.9 bb)
      Hero (UTG): $113.31 (226.6 bb)
      MP: $48.27 (96.5 bb)
      CO: $33.89 (67.8 bb)
      BTN: $50 (100 bb)
      SB: $32.25 (64.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with A A
      Hero raises to $1.75, MP calls $1.75, 2 folds, SB calls $1.50, BB folds

      Flop: ($5.75) 8 8 8 (3 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $3, MP folds, SB raises to $6, Hero calls $3

      Turn: ($17.75) 9 (2 players)
      SB bets $9, Hero folds



      I decided that I have no reason to believe that this opponent is ever going to be bluffing here. I also excluded QQ+ from his range from the proflop action and since I think A8s, 78s,98s are possible in his range I made the fold.
  • 3 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Hi,


      What's your overall sample? a few hundred hands?

      I still think you should get it in on the Flop or just call down. He represents such a narrow range of hands.

      Ah8h 9h8h 7h8h is like 3 combos
      You just need him to have 2 combos of worse hands and he can very easily have all combos of JJ or TT.

      Folding here is way too weak and is a huge leak IMO. Your sample on his aggression and checkraise % is too small.
    • DeMarcohsp
      DeMarcohsp
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Hey mbml,

      Can you suggest some ways of fixing this leak? What should I be looking for?
      Is it something like " don't make ridiculous folds when you are only beaten by very few combos?"
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      yeah i suppose so,

      don't be overly paranoid. When people rep narrow nutted value ranges and they can def raise worse for value, you can never fold.