[NL20-NL50] NL25 SH AK - big bluff on turn :)

    • SPeedFANat1c
      SPeedFANat1c
      Gold
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,071
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($39.51)
      BB ($25)
      UTG ($21.05)
      CO ($48)
      BTN ($38.48)

      Dealt to Hero K:club: A:spade:

      fold, fold, BTN raises to $0.75, Hero raises to $2.30, fold, BTN calls $1.55

      FLOP ($4.85) 6:club: 9:club: 5:club:

      Hero bets $2.70, BTN raises to $5.40, Hero calls $2.70

      TURN ($15.65) 6:club: 9:club: 5:club: 5:spade:

      Hero checks, BTN bets $7.50, Hero raises to $31.81 (AI), BTN folds

      Hero shows K:club: A:spade:

      Hero wins $29.27



      his aggression stats looked big and time ran out, and I did not kwow what to do so I tried bluff.
      I was thinking about calling - but see - he might have weak range because his AF and af frequencies are high, so I will not have implied odds on turn. So I raised.
  • 9 replies
    • getdotacom
      getdotacom
      Black
      Joined: 06.04.2008 Posts: 607
      U can bluff here, but I rather shove the flop. Most likely he will have total air or set on the flop, but we still have decent equity vs that and we will get folds very often. On the turn I don't like shoving that much, he will have complete air or fullhouse, so I think calling or folding could be better.
    • SPeedFANat1c
      SPeedFANat1c
      Gold
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,071
      U can bluff here, but I rather shove the flop.


      On the flop I had decent odds to call and stack was still very big left. With 100 bb stack I would like shove more on flop. Did you pay attention to stacks on flop?
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi,

      I rather 3bet/fold the Flop given stack depth. I don't really want to call K high flush draw OOP and then c/shove.
    • Farmarchist
      Farmarchist
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640
      Why not bet/fold flop? We have reversed implieds with a call and why would we assume villain bluffs such a scare board where we probably check/fold all or air?
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi farma

      I actually think this particular player will be full of it on such boards with any one card hand. Our sample is small and while he might not bluffraise every single time, when someone does it 3 out of 5 times theres a really high chance that hes just plain aggro.

      Just for the sake of comparison the avg decent pkayer has a raise flop of 10-15% so 60% is easily 4-6 times more than that.
    • gxtwo
      gxtwo
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.12.2010 Posts: 1,176
      What sizing would you use for a 3bet on the flop?

      Would a flop 3bet commit us a fair bit?

      Do you think such a player would jam his weaker FDs?
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      I think maybe 11 and fold to a jam? That wouldn't commit us.
      I don't think he would raise Qc here and stack off, that just seems way too bad of a play.
    • gxtwo
      gxtwo
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.12.2010 Posts: 1,176
      Sorry I never noticed we were so deep :)

      What if we were both 100bb pre?

      Even if he does jam, aren't we ahead of his A:cX?

      Also thanks for your fast replies! :D
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi,

      if we were 100bb i would probably just jam flop and hope for the best. i don't really see any point in flatting, then checkraising turns.