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[NL2-NL10] qq

    • Dracsharp
      Joined: 22.01.2010 Posts: 2,478
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($6.10)
      BB ($10.76)
      UTG ($5)
      CO ($5.44)
      BTN ($3.05)

      Dealt to Hero Q:club: Q:heart:

      fold, fold, BTN raises to $0.10, Hero raises to $0.40, fold, BTN calls $0.30

      FLOP ($0.85) J:spade: 9:heart: J:club:

      Hero bets $0.42, BTN calls $0.42

      TURN ($1.69) J:spade: 9:heart: J:club: 9:spade:

      Hero checks, BTN checks

      RIVER ($1.69) J:spade: 9:heart: J:club: 9:spade: 4:spade:

      Hero bets $0.50, BTN raises to $2.23 (AI), Hero calls $1.73

      BTN shows J:diamond: Q:spade:
      (Pre 12%, Flop 94.0%, Turn 97.7%)

      Hero shows Q:club: Q:heart:
      (Pre 88%, Flop 6.0%, Turn 2.3%)

      BTN wins $5.74

  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hey Dracsharp,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Flop: looks fine, I like the small bet and we can still get value from pairs, draws, floats.

      Turn: Once the 9 pairs draws are most likely not calling us anymore so the only value we have is from TT and maybe random Ax so checking is fine.

      River: Personally I feel that river is a bet fold. I can't see villain turning random hands into a bluff on boards like this.

      Can we expect him to raise worse for value? No, I don't think so.

      So then he needs to bluff 30% of the time. While he has potential bluffs in his range because we checked the turn he also has 9x and Jx that can play this way. So without reads I'm bet folding the river.