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[NL2-NL10] NL10 FR; KK vs possible flush draw

    • MMPokerNab
      MMPokerNab
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.02.2012 Posts: 249
      $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Holdem
      888
      9 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      Stacks:
      UTG ($15.40) 154bb
      Hero (UTG+1) ($11.44) 114bb
      MP1 ($11.33) 113bb
      MP2 ($10.15) 102bb
      MP3 ($4.95) 50bb
      CO ($19.50) 195bb
      BTN ($10.61) 106bb
      SB ($9.86) 99bb
      BB ($10) 100bb

      Pre-Flop: ($0.15, 9 players) Hero is UTG+1 K:diamond: K:club:
      UTG calls $0.10, Hero raises to $0.45, 7 folds, UTG calls $0.35

      Flop: 2:diamond: 9:diamond: K:heart: ($1.05, 2 players)
      UTG bets $0.52, Hero raises to $1.50, UTG raises to $2.48, Hero calls $0.98
      from theory i should have known that if he holds 2 diamons in hand, probability of him completing his flush was approx 32% (outs*4%)
      pot is $5 after his 3bet (i have $8), correct play would be jam here?
      *goes to check PS material on odds*

      Turn: 4:diamond: ($6.01, 2 players)
      UTG checks, Hero checks

      River: 10:heart: ($6.01, 2 players)
      UTG bets $3, Hero calls $3
      crying call

      Final Pot: $12.01
      UTG shows
      9:spade: Q:diamond:
      Hero shows
      K:diamond: K:club:

      Hero wins $11.41 (net +$5.48)

      UTG lost $5.93

      edited for bad math
  • 2 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Hi.

      No reason to flat his 3bet here unless you think he was bluffing. If he 3bets a flush draw, He's never folding it. Same for his sets. Only reason to flat here is if you want to induce bluffs from the weak parts of his range.

      I don't think this has anything to do with pot odds. Just an issue of what you are trying to achieve.

      As it turns out, he was turning 9X into a bluff. So your play turned out to be the best play I think? Unless he just calls it off vs your flop jam anyway which would mean that your play didn't achieve anything.

      Personally I prefer to just minraise him again. Give him an opportunity to come over the top again with his spazz air. We can rep a ton of bluffs in this manner.

      River: This is not a crying call IMO. This is a snap call. We definitely have the best hand here more than 1/3 of the time, maybe even 40%+ of the time. We are getting 25% pot odds.
    • MMPokerNab
      MMPokerNab
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.02.2012 Posts: 249
      thank you mbml!

      you've actually given me a lot to think about. :f_biggrin: