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[NL2-NL10] NL4 SH, JJ in funky spot

    • dienaszaglis
      Joined: 12.06.2008 Posts: 999
      $0.02/$0.04 No Limit Holdem
      6 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by

      UTG ($2.24) 56bb
      UTG+1 ($2.01) 50bb
      CO ($4) 100bb
      BTN ($3.14) 79bb
      SB ($5.41) 135bb
      HERO (BB) ($4.17) 104bb

      Pre-Flop: ($0.06, 6 players) HERO is BB J:heart: J:club:
      UTG calls $0.04, UTG+1 raises to $0.12, 3 folds, HERO calls $0.08, UTG raises to $0.24, UTG+1 calls $0.12, HERO calls $0.12

      Flop: 5:club: 4:spade: 6:spade: ($0.74, 3 players)
      HERO checks, UTG bets $0.71, UTG+1 goes all-in $1.77, HERO?

      Both villains are 30/20, AF:2.5, 20h

      I guess, I had to 3bet for value. Even if MP would shove, I would get about 45% pot odds and even against a tight shoving range:
      TT+,AQs+,AQo+ I would be even money.

      As played, calling the limp-squeeze seemed the best option.

      Played around with ranges:

      Board: 5:club: 4:spade: 6:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    43.65%  41.49%   2.16% { TT+, AsKs, AsQs }
      MP     36.63%  35.14%   1.48% { JJ-44, AsKs, AsQs }
      HERO   19.72%  17.26%   2.47% { JJ }

      All things considered, this is a fold.
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Dienaszaglis,

      Preflop: Considering the opponents stack size and few stats I would 3-bet there for pure value (and get it in).

      As played calling is fine after the limp/minraise.

      Flop: Here we either donk/go with the hand for value/protection or we check/fold (as played).

      I can see villains stacking off with plenty worse (although they will have a lot of hands with equity like draws or better hands).

      But as played it's a fold !