[NL2-NL10] NL10FR Flush draw

    • SillySaurus
      SillySaurus
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.01.2010 Posts: 206
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($8.44)
      BB ($10)
      UTG ($9.90)
      UTG+1 ($9.90)
      UTG+2 ($10.25)
      MP1 ($13.89)
      Hero ($12.36)
      BTN ($9.75)

      Dealt to Hero A:diamond: J:diamond:

      fold, UTG+1 calls $0.10, UTG+2 calls $0.10, fold, Hero raises to $0.50, fold, SB calls $0.45, fold, UTG+1 calls $0.40, fold

      FLOP ($1.70) A:spade: 3:club: 2:diamond:

      SB checks, UTG+1 bets $1.20, Hero calls $1.20, SB folds

      TURN ($4.10) A:spade: 3:club: 2:diamond: 9:diamond:

      UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $1.95, UTG+1 raises to $3.90, Hero raises to $10.66 (AI), UTG+1 calls $4.30 (AI)

      RIVER ($20.50) A:spade: 3:club: 2:diamond: 9:diamond: 4:heart:

      Hero shows A:diamond: J:diamond:
      (Pre 74%, Flop 32.5%, Turn 38.6%)

      UTG+1 shows 2:spade: A:heart:
      (Pre 26%, Flop 67.5%, Turn 61.4%)

      UTG+1 wins $19.50


      Villain is 71/13/3 120 hands.

      I got 5,1:1 to call the turn reraise. Should I just call instead of being this aggressive? ^_^

      I go allin because I have TPGK and think that if I call I have only a stack left that is equal to 1/2 of the pot and would feel semi pot committed on the river. Also I like having the initiative.
  • 3 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi Chewbroccoli,

      I'm not sure if you should even bet the Turn. While villain is loose, he has a low PFR. I think the Aces in his raising range preflop crush AJ so despite you having a flush draw I think you should consider checking back the Turn.

      His line looks really strong so I just call and hope for the best on the river.

      Calculations of pot odds: I suggest you think in terms of percentage instead of ratios. It's like Americans using the Imperial System while the rest of the world use the Metric System :f_biggrin: Percentages are just way easier to work with, you can compare pot odds in % vs flop equity in %. No one calculates equity in ratios.

      Pot odds = ~17%
      Chances of hitting a flush, provided there are 9 diamonds left in the deck = 9/(52-6) = 19.5%

      This is definitely a call. You have more than enough odds to call, and stacking off just isolates you vs the monsters in his range. We have a very easy fold on a non-diamond. We are also folding on another Ace because it doesn't improve our relative hand strength against our opponent's range (sets and two pairs). On a Jack I think we have a call (but not happy about it).
    • SillySaurus
      SillySaurus
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.01.2010 Posts: 206
      Very Thorough mbml. Thanks a lot. :f_love:
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      no problem ;)