[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH AJs runner nut flush on river

    • lood88
      lood88
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.09.2010 Posts: 88
      $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Holdem
      PartyPoker
      6 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      Stacks:
      UTG ($12.86) 129bb
      UTG+1 ($10.30) 103bb 16/13/3,0/300 hands (insanely low WTSD, only once in these 300 hands)
      CO ($7.01) 70bb
      Hero (BTN) ($10) 100bb
      SB ($15.62) 156bb
      BB ($10) 100bb

      Pre-Flop: ($0.15, 6 players) Hero is BTN A:club: J:club:
      1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.40, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.40, 2 folds

      Flop: 8:club: A:heart: 10:diamond: ($0.95, 2 players)
      UTG+1 bets $0.68, Hero calls $0.68

      Turn: 2:club: ($2.31, 2 players)
      UTG+1 bets $1.70, Hero calls $1.70

      River: 6:club: ($5.71, 2 players)
      UTG+1 bets $4.07, Hero goes all-in $7.22, UTG+1 calls $3.15


      Had mega tuna on SB so didn't want to 3b to scare him off.
      What do you think about turn call? If FD didn't come out, would it be to weak to fold?
      If I didn't hit flush on river, can I ever be good here?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      On the turn, our hand has medium showdown value and nut flush draw potential. Raising doesn't make any sense here especially when we are IP.

      If we hit, we bloat the pot like you did here. IF we missed, we decide on whether he's bluffing enough on the River and call or fold.

      I think we should fold on the River if he fires again, we lose to AT AK AQ and sets and A8s A2s. I don't think he fires the river as a bluff too often.