[NL20-NL50] fold?

    • daisuke3823
      daisuke3823
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.02.2008 Posts: 8,321
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      ハンドをプレーする

      $0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      BU (Hero):
      $29.78
      SB:
      $127.39
      BB:
      $60.58
      MP2:
      $50.50
      MP3:
      $50.00
      CO:
      $200.54


      Preflop: Hero is BU with Q, Q.
      2 folds, CO raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $4.50, SB raises to $11.00, 2 folds, Hero calls $6.50.

      Flop: ($24) 7, 6, 6 (2 players)
      SB bets $16.00, Hero folds, SB gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $24.
      SB stats、in 80 hands vpip15 pfr11 3BET0 HM was not working well and showed wrong stats
      .should fold preflop? actual stats was 50 hands  VPIP40  3BET20
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      I think you played the hand very sub optimally.

      1) If you call the 4bet with QQ, why did you fold the Flop? Isn't your plan to dodge an Ace or King, then get stacks in hoping you are against AK? Calling 6.50 more to set mine is just not a very good idea.

      2) You are 60bb only so I think QQ is strong enough to stack off in many circumstances, perhaps this as well. It is far likelier for SB to also have JJ and AK in his range.

      Pot odds to stack off here: Put 25.50 more (30-4.50) in a pot of 62$ = 25.5/62 = 41.1% equity.

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 59.79% 57.93% 1.86% QQ+, AKs, AKo
      MP3 40.21% 38.35% 1.86% QQ

      Seems like a really close fold, or you could go all-in if he could have JJ a really small % of the time. Either way I don't think either play is going to be a huge mistake. I just think calling the 4b is the worst option, and especially if you are going to play QQ like that postflop.