[NL20-NL50] correct call?

• Bronze
Joined: 05.02.2008
Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

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\$0.1/\$0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

Known players:
BU (Hero):
\$24.90
SB:
\$11.90
BB:
\$11.51
MP2:
\$28.39
MP3:
\$27.13
CO:
\$48.45

Preflop: Hero is BU with Q, A.
MP2 raises to \$0.75, 2 folds, Hero calls \$0.75, SB raises to \$11.90, 2 folds, Hero calls \$11.15.

Flop: (\$24.8) T, 5, 6 (2 players)

Turn: (\$24.8) 6 (2 players)

River: (\$24.8) 4 (2 players)

Final Pot: \$24.8.
Results follow:

SB shows a pair of sixes(K A).
Hero shows a flush, ace high(Q A).

Hero wins with a flush, ace high(Q A).

his stats in 73 hands　vpip31 pfr29 af8 wtsd13 w\$sd0 3ET16,7 squeeze６６、７
my all in call was correct?
• 3 replies
• Black
Joined: 27.11.2008
Hi.

This is a simple pot odds and equity spot.
1) calculate ur pot odds
2) put him on a range and poker stove or equilab your equity

The tough part is the assumptions. Try to give an optimistic and conservative estimate for your opponents range. I will guide u along.
• Bronze
Joined: 05.02.2008
BEP４５、４％　　　his range QQ+、AKo、AKs→my equity ２４、４％　　　　optimistic AQo、AQs、AJo、AQs、KQs、KQo、99+→ equity ５８、５４％

like this?
• Black
Joined: 27.11.2008
1) count your pot odds first.

Pot odds = (Amount Left to call / Total pot after calling) X 100%

11.15/24.8 = 45%

2) For your equity estimates, that seems fine. I think your conservative estimates is a little too conservative (he definitely goes all-in with JJ for sure).

Your optimistic estimate may be a little too optimistic (do people really shove KQ and AJ here? Vs an MP opening range?) Then again if he's really aggro like his stats suggested (over a larger sample), it could be fine.

The biggest problem here is your sample size. But I'm willing to assume he's more aggressive and put my trust in the stats. The 3bet stats which you have a lower sample size on matches the high PFR and VPIP, so he is very likely to be aggro.

I think this is a close spot and if he shoves KQ and AJ a small % of the time we would need to call here. If he never shoves these hands, we should always fold here cos we don't have more than 40% equity.