[NL2-NL10] NL 10 Q8s

    • 0744379
      0744379
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.06.2011 Posts: 435
      Party, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (BTN): $10.27 (102.7 bb)
      BB: $13.70 (137 bb)
      SB: $6.11 (61.1 bb)
      CO: $10 (100 bb)
      MP: $14.94 (149.4 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with 8 Q
      MP calls $0.10, CO folds, Hero raises to $0.40, 2 folds, MP calls $0.30

      Flop: ($0.95) 8 A Q (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero bets $0.70, MP raises to $1.40, Hero calls $0.70

      Turn: ($3.75) 6 (2 players)
      MP bets $3.57, Hero raises to $8.47, MP calls $4.90

      River: ($20.69) 5 (2 players)

      Results:
      $20.69 pot ($1 rake)
      Final Board: 8 A Q 6 5
      Hero showed 8 Q and won $19.69 ($9.42 net)
      MP showed 7 K and lost (-$10.27 net)


      I isolate preflop. On flop his min raise leads me to call even though I've very little equity against made flush. On turn I think his nearly pot size bet is far more often a semi bluff rather than value bet. Better two pair is possible but only 27 combos..
  • 5 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi,

      Preflop: looks good

      Flop: What's our equity against a range that you think he'd raise (add 2p, sets, made flushes, semibluffs with Kh)?

      Also do you expect him to raise Ax, without a big draw or 2p?

      Turn: While it can be a semibluff why can't we expect him to play sets, 2p, small flushes like this for protection/value?

      It's true that a min raise followed by a big bet may seem bluffy but a lot of fish take these limes for pure value.

      So what I'd do first is look at our equity on the flop against his entire range and then make my decision. So as a small homework do that and then we can continue our discussion :)

      PS: what's your first name or nickname? I find it hard to say Hi "0744379".
    • 0744379
      0744379
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.06.2011 Posts: 435
      Hey Bogdan,
      my name is Kevin.

      I evaluated my equity against the range you advised. I have 37% equity against this range which is twice the equity I need to call.

      On the turn I don't know how much his range changes?

      I dont think 66 with 6h is in his range.

      My shove doesn't look profitable to me as his calling range rarely includes anything I beat or have much equity against (sets, flushes, better two pairs).

      I have 12% against this new range.
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Kevin,

      Well, don't forget that the equity equilab gives you is for two streets.

      When you call you are only guaranteed one street for that price.

      37% equity is not great considering you have to play for stacks and your redraws are not the greatest.

      So, as you came to the conclusion, even though he may semibluff you can't really go with the hand, unless of course he semi-bluffs a LOT or bluffs on top of that.
    • 0744379
      0744379
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.06.2011 Posts: 435
      I forgot about the two streets equity thanks for the advice!
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by 0744379
      I forgot about the two streets equity thanks for the advice!
      You are welcome.