[NL20-NL50] NL25 - 22: size on the river with full house

    • Lunitis
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,136
      CO: 29/26/4.5af
      91% cbet flop (85% 3 way)
      28% wtsd
      14k hands

      BU: 48/3/1.2
      38% wtsd
      1.8k hands

      UTG: $24.25 (97 bb)
      MP: $23.03 (92.1 bb)
      CO: $23.92 (95.7 bb)
      BTN: $13.13 (52.5 bb)
      SB: $21.78 (87.1 bb)
      Hero (BB): $25 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with 2:club: 2:spade:
      2 folds, CO raises to $0.60, BTN calls $0.60, SB folds, Hero calls $0.35

      Flop: ($1.90) 9:club: 2:heart: 9:spade: (3 players)
      Hero checks, CO checks, BTN checks

      Turn: ($1.90) 7:spade: (3 players)
      Hero bets $1.40, CO calls $1.40, BTN calls $1.40

      River: ($6.10) J:spade: (3 players)
      Hero ?

      Its highly probable that at least one of them hit the flush on the river. The donkey will never fold a flush if i shove, but i dont know about the reg, even with AXs flush i doubt that he call if i shove. So im not very sure about the size. Pot size?
      Ups... now posting the hand im realizing that c/rai could be much better because they will bet a flush :s_mad:
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      I agree with you, c/r seems better. If we bet something like halfpot, I'm afraid that the fish may just not raise cos the board is paired. I doubt the reg is strong anyway so I am not too bothered with losing value vs him.