[NL2-NL10] NL5 9-max hero AKs BB

    • NoriDare
      Joined: 02.07.2011 Posts: 53
      Full Tilt - $0.05 NL - Holdem - 9 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      UTG+2: 172.8 BB
      MP: 176.2 BB
      MP+1: 42 BB
      CO: 122.4 BB
      BTN: 115.4 BB
      SB: 133.2 BB
      Hero (BB): 109.8 BB
      UTG: 47.2 BB
      UTG+1: 37.8 BB

      SB posts SB 0.4 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.07) Hero has A:club: K:club:

      fold, fold, fold, MP raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 7 BB, MP calls 4 BB

      Flop: ($0.72, 2 players) 4:club: 8:heart: A:spade:
      Hero bets 10.8 BB, MP calls 10.8 BB

      Turn: ($1.80, 2 players) T:club:
      Hero bets 27 BB, MP raises to 59 BB, Hero raises to 91 BB, MP raises to 123 BB, Hero calls 1 BB and is all-in

      River: ($11.00, 2 players) 8:club:

      MP shows 4:heart: 4:diamond: (Full House, Fours full of Eights) (Pre 51%, Flop 94%, Turn 82%)
      Hero shows A:club: K:club: (Flush, Ace High) (Pre 49%, Flop 6%, Turn 18%)
      MP wins 205.4 BB

      Is better to fold on MP raise to 59BB with top pair and FD hand ?
  • 2 replies
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi NoriDare,

      Preflop: 3-bet is fine but I don't like our very small raise size. I'd make it at least 10bb OOP here.

      Flop: As played the bet size is a big bit for a 3-bet pot but then again we 3-bet very small. I'd normally make it about 7-8 BB there.

      Turn: Once we get raised on the turn, against an unknown it's not looking great for us but we have TP with a nice redraw (however let's look into more detail). Without the NFD I would most likely bet/fold. We get roughly 21% pot odds and we have 8 clean outs so that's roughly 16%.

      Since when shoving we can't expect to have FE we need to rely on either being ahead some amount of the time or have enough hand equity. So what do you think, what's his range for raising?
    • NoriDare
      Joined: 02.07.2011 Posts: 53
      Hi Bogdan

      Yes i think his range for rising is AT, A8, A4, and sets and i only have TPTK and i think Runner Runner FD is just pure luck (in accident at this case ;) ) because very rearly happens...
      And relay only on that is not enough... :D