[NL20-NL50] [sh] nl 50 draw vs recreational player m x/r ott

    • DeMarcohsp
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      On Game, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      SB: $72.37 (144.7 bb)
      BB: $50.75 (101.5 bb)
      Hero (UTG): $73.16 (146.3 bb)
      MP: $49.50 (99 bb)
      CO: $51.89 (103.8 bb)
      BTN: $178.68 (357.4 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with 8 7
      Hero raises to $1.75, 3 folds, SB calls $1.50, BB folds

      Flop: ($4) 4 6 6 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $2.50, SB calls $2.50

      Turn: ($9) Q (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $6, SB raises to $12, Hero calls $6

      River: ($33) 9 (2 players)
      SB bets $16.50, Hero calls $16.50

      $66 pot ($3 rake)
      Final Board: 4 6 6 Q 9
      SB showed 6 8 and lost (-$32.75 net)
      Hero showed 8 7 and won $63 ($30.25 net)

      Are you putting bigger flushes in this player's range after he x/mr turn? If you don't then I think we have raise on the river for value (or would you just shove?)
  • 2 replies
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Turn spot is ugly but I'll just call because we have combo draw outs. I would bet/fold a regular flush draw here. I don't think we are drawing dead that much because a recreational player has so many 6X hands in his range, way more than a reg.

      Note: we are simply calling Turn cos we are priced in, not because we are thrilled about our flush draw. I think his most likely hand is 6X. He could occasionally have QQ or 44 but I think he might slowplay Turn again with boats a lot of the time.

      River: My first instinct is to call. But I see WTSD 59. If we know he's never folding a 6, then just count combos of 6X and boats that he can have. I think we can include 0 flushes in his range.

      Provided he never folds a 6, I think we might find a shove here. Or maybe a smaller raise. Smaller raise could be good (and we can safely raise/fold cos I think he never jams without a full house).
    • DeMarcohsp
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975

      After reading your explanation if deff would be an exception for him to have a fh so then it just makes a combo counting problem and my resolution is that a small raise on the river is best play I can think of :) .