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[NL2-NL10] aks

    • Dracsharp
      Joined: 22.01.2010 Posts: 2,478
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Replayer
      SB ($5.66)
      BB ($3.40)
      Hero ($5.66)
      UTG+1 ($7.97)
      CO ($6.26)
      BTN ($5)

      Dealt to Hero A:heart: K:heart:

      Hero raises to $0.17, fold, CO calls $0.17, fold, SB raises to $0.50, fold, Hero raises to $1.20, fold, SB raises to $5.66 (AI), Hero calls $4.46 (AI)

      FLOP ($11.54) K:club: 9:spade: K:diamond:

      TURN ($11.54) K:club: 9:spade: K:diamond: 4:club:

      RIVER ($11.54) K:club: 9:spade: K:diamond: 4:club: J:diamond:

      SB shows A:spade: A:club:
      (Pre 88%, Flop 4.3%, Turn 2.3%)

      Hero shows A:heart: K:heart:
      (Pre 12%, Flop 95.7%, Turn 97.7%)

      Hero wins $10.78

  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Dracsharp,

      Preflop: Over the sample we have villain doesn't seem to be too 3-bet happy and even though he is squeezing a UTG+CO raise/call I still think it's ok to 4-bet as he will still have some bluffs in his range.

      When he shoves we need roughly 41% pot odds and AKs versus AK, QQ+ has about 42%. After we take away the rake our call is barely profitable so that means we need villain to shove other worse hands. And since it's SB vs UTG at this point he may not even shove AK at which point our equity drops to 35%