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[NL20-NL50] [sh] nl 50 overbetting with pumpkins on the river

    • DeMarcohsp
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      On Game, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $49.81 (99.6 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $49.25 (98.5 bb)
      SB: $80.73 (161.5 bb)
      BB: $50.63 (101.3 bb)
      MP: $143.87 (287.7 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with Q 7
      2 folds, Hero raises to $1, SB folds, BB calls $0.50

      Flop: ($2.25) 4 K 4 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.50, BB calls $1.50

      Turn: ($5.25) 6 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $4, BB calls $4

      River: ($13.25) 8 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $23, BB folds

      $13.25 pot ($0.66 rake)
      Final Board: 4 K 4 6 8
      Hero mucked Q 7 and won $12.59 ($6.09 net)
      BB mucked and lost (-$6.50 net)

      I thought that a player like this might even fold KQ from time to time as he is is never going to expect anyone to bluff on these cards.
      What do you think about overbetting on non scare cards as being more powerful than doing it on scare cards ?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      While i dont really approve of pure air barrels, given starting positions i think his range is capped and yours isnt. U can have many more 4x in ur range.

      Vs this specific opponent i dont think i like the turn bet if u dont bet river. He has a high fold to cbet on flop so his turn continuation range is way stronger than the avg guy.

      Your river play is purely an exploitative one. It could be good cos we know he almost never has the nuts but he could know that we know that and hero call our overbet.