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[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH - 88 hits set board gets ugly

    • ILuvBeachVB
      Joined: 17.06.2010 Posts: 382
      No Limit Hold'em $0.05/$0.10
      Full Tilt Poker
      5 players
      Formatted by - Mac OS X hand history analysis and tracking

      UTG - UTG ($10.00)
      CO - CO ($2.25)
      BTN - BTN ($33.51)
      SB - Hero ($17.28)
      BB - BB ($10.55)

      Preflop: ($0.15, 5 players) Hero is SB with 8:spade: 8:club:
      2 folds, BTN raises to $0.35, Hero calls $0.30, 1 fold

      Flop: A:heart: 8:diamond: J:diamond: ($0.80, 2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $1.40, Hero raises to $4.00, BTN calls $2.60

      Turn: 9:diamond: ($8.80, 2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN checks

      River: T:heart: ($8.80, 2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN checks

      Total Pot: $8.80

      Villain: 57/15/2.29/39/47 [VPIP/PFR/AF/WTS/# hands]

      Turn card is scary, should I still bet it?
  • 1 reply
    • kymupa
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364

      First I want to ask you are you playing MSS or SSS?

      Preflop calling is fine.

      Check/raising the flop is good here.
      We have very strong hand and we want to put the money in right here.
      I'd just make it around $5.4 since the board is quite drawy.

      Turn card really sucks here. QT got there, FD too.
      Anyways I'd actually be more inclined to bet here, since he might have worse made hands, also could call us with something like pair + draw.
      You don't need to make it big - $3.5 will do the job and I really doubt that he will bluff here.
      Of course, the other option is to check/call but then we will have a hard time playing the river.

      As played on the previous streets, I think you could go for something like $2 on the river for think value.