[NL20-NL50] NL25 SH - KK: flat pre-flop

    • Lunitis
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,131
      15% OR MP
      71% fold vs 3bet (same mp)
      75% cbet flop
      73% fold cbet vs raise flop
      33% cbet turn
      3/6 cbet river
      46% wwsf
      27% wtsd
      1.2k hands

      Bu: 44/15/1.6
      48% fold vs cbet flop
      26% fold vs cbet turn
      1.1k hands

      SB: 21/16
      5% squeeze

      BB 24/23
      12% squeeze

      Hero (CO): $47.65 (190.6 bb)
      BTN: $9.69 (38.8 bb)
      SB: $25.37 (101.5 bb)
      BB: $47.25 (189 bb)
      UTG: $25.97 (103.9 bb)
      MP: $25.60 (102.4 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with K:heart: K:club:
      UTG folds, MP raises to $0.75, Hero calls $0.75, BTN calls $0.75, 2 folds

      Flop: ($2.60) T:club: 5:heart: 7:club: (3 players)
      MP bets $2, Hero calls $2, BTN calls $2

      Turn: ($8.60) K:spade: (3 players)
      MP bets $5.50, Hero raises to $44.90 and is all-in

      I had no dynamic so i was expecting lots of folds, so i decided to flat to play with do donkey or to get some squeeze from the blinds. OK?
      Flop i think is standard. Turn i was thinking and thinking and decided to shove. By calling i was giving very good odds to the fish with a draw, and the reg would see the river for a low price too. Also could loose some action from sets and AK/AA if bad river comes. Agree?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Lunitis,

      Preflop: flatting for the reasons you mentioned is fine (unless we have a 3-bet dynamic with MP where we get 4-bet a lot).

      Flop: As played we know a few things:
      A) MP likes his hand (large cbet into two people, one is a fish)
      B) Our hand is disguised and under-represented.
      C) We have a fishy player behind that may call light (because of his stats and small stack)

      Because of the above I actually like a raise on this flop. The raise doesn't have to be big, perhaps to about $5-$5.75 or so.

      If BTN has a hand (draw, TP, etc) he will most likely not fold.

      And MP can go lighter with us here.

      Turn: Personally I wouldn't care about the odds the fish gets because he is almost all in there (he would have $1.5 or so left). However, since MP did bet into 3 people twice he likes his hand and I don't think he will fold much so raising is fine. Considering the SPR any raise would commit villain (unless we minraise) so a shove is fine.