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[NL20-NL50] NL50 AK 3bet pot

    • double2
      double2
      Bronze
      Joined: 04.11.2008 Posts: 14,642
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Reproduzir mão

      $0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (5 handed)

      Known players:
      BB (Hero):
      $49.25
      MP3:
      $49.75
      CO:
      $54.75
      BU:
      $49.25
      SB:
      $49.94


      Preflop: Hero is BB with K, A.
      2 folds, BU raises to $1.00, SB folds, Hero raises to $4.00, BU calls $3.00.

      Flop: ($8.25) A, 6, T (2 players)
      Hero bets $4.50, BU calls $4.50.

      Turn: ($17.25) 8 (2 players)
      Hero bets $9.50, BU calls $9.50.

      River: ($36.25) K (2 players)


      Final Pot: $36.25.


      Villain 378 hands
      17/13

      Nice hand till river? River should I shove or bet smaller?
  • 2 replies
    • jachis
      jachis
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.04.2008 Posts: 745
      I think its hard to say with so little info about villains stats and tendencies.
      If we expect him to call 3bet with QJ+, TT and JJ, I would expect him to raise his set at some point so I dont think he can have that, he can have 24 combos of AQ and AJ, and only 1 combo of QdJd, maybe we can add 98dd, 78ss, so 3combos of flushes.
      So I prefer a smaller bet to get value form worse Ax hands.
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909
      Bigger on flop ($5), bigger on turn ($12). River should be easy 2/3-3/4 pot shove and then you can value shove since he doesn't fold AQ almost ever (from my experience anyway, I always find excuse to barrel on flush cards with my J9cc) and obviously will not fold AT, T8, KT. You sometimes run into a flush, that's is definitely possible but the alternatives are check/fold or check/call.

      If you cannot value bet you need him to turn hands into bluffs because a big ratio of the draws you put in his range got there. That means you aren't thrilled about check/calling. Then you have check folding in a spot where you can probably still get value and also in a spot where you can (I know I do) bluff often. I would go for the aggressive approach and bet/bet/shove this runout.

      Since your sizings are not good I am not sure what to do now. Bet/fold 1/2 I assume is the best play because he doesn't raise as a bluff either, not nearly often enough either but still calls worse.