[NL20-NL50] NL50 AA 3bet pot

    • double2
      double2
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 04.11.2008 Posts: 14,642
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Reproduzir mão

      $0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      BB:
      $60.37
      MP2:
      $50.75
      MP3 (Hero):
      $66.84
      CO:
      $50.03
      BU:
      $67.39
      SB:
      $50.25


      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with A, A.
      MP2 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, 3 folds, BB raises to $5.00, Hero calls $3.50.

      Flop: ($10.25) K, 2, Q (2 players)
      BB bets $6.00, Hero calls $6.00.

      Turn: ($22.25) 2 (2 players)
      BB bets $11.00, Hero calls $11.00.

      River: ($44.25) 5 (1 players)
      BB bets $38.37

      Villain 1.8k hands
      24/22/13
      3bet BB 19% (not only vs steal...)
      3bet vs MP 11%
      cbet in 3bet pot flop and turn: 75%/69% (13)
      Agg freq 45/35/24
      WTSD 40%
      WWSF 53%

      It was beggining of session and I was pretty sure I had a lot of FE with a 4bet in this spot given his image of me at the time. Given his aggressive tendencies post flop I decided to flat. Really don't know if it was an horrible idea.

      The plan was to call down most boards.
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Double2,

      Preflop: I personally prefer not to slowplay AA here without specific reads (we do have some stats that tell us he may bet a lot on flop/turn as a bluff).

      First, we are slightly deeper and second of all we want to cooler all the hands that would get it in with us like AK, JJ+ (or QQ+).

      Flop: As played we can call the flop to let him barrel the turn.

      Turn: Why are we not raising here? We slowplayed our hand and he will never fold Kx and may even call AQ. We also beat KQ. He may also call the red FDs.

      We also can't expect him to bet too many rivers so raising is definitely my preferred line.

      River: This is a tough spot. For value I can see him doing this with AQhh, KK (3), QQ(3) and perhaps AK (6 combos).

      If he bet's half of his AK (or some bluffs) then we can call here and we'd be around break even.