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[NL20-NL50] A9s nl50fr

    • franeczek
      Joined: 22.03.2009 Posts: 2,439
      Party, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $33.43 (66.9 bb)
      Hero (BB): $50.75 (101.5 bb)
      UTG+1: $49.42 (98.8 bb)
      MP3: $50.39 (100.8 bb)
      SB: $50 (100 bb)
      MP1: $75.03 (150.1 bb)
      UTG+2: $89.23 (178.5 bb)
      MP2: $12 (24 bb)
      CO: $51.65 (103.3 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with 9 A
      2 folds, MP1 raises to $1, 5 folds, Hero calls $0.50

      Flop: ($2.25) 5 4 2 (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP1 bets $2, Hero raises to $7, MP1 calls $5

      Turn: ($16.25) 3 (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP1 bets $11.58, Hero raises to $42.75 and is all-in, MP1 calls $31.17

      River: ($101.75) A (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      $101.75 pot ($3 rake)
      Final Board: 5 4 2 3 A
      Hero mucked 9 A and lost (-$50.75 net)
      MP1 showed 5 6 and won $98.75 ($48 net)

      Villian is 24/18/38 after 12k hands (VPIP/PFR/AFQ). SO he is a reg but extremly loose at full ring games. Decided to defend OOP vs minraise,kinda loose. Cbet 52%.

      On the flop I have gutshot and 2 overs+ Villian fold fair amount vs X/r (56% fold to flop raise) and I expected to fold better Ax on the flop+ I have some barelling opportunintes on later streets.
      Turn got me sort of lost. On the one hand I hit my out with straight but on the other hand when I bet nothing worse will call,cause he 3b sets on the flop probably flush draws either.
      He bets quite a bitvs missed cbet like 56%. I played it extremly poorly with x/r on the Turn but what is the best line here on the Turn???
      Lets say that we bet the Turn, do we bet/call here or bet/fold. I doubt he raise Ax on the Turn (or I am wrong?).
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Franeczek,

      Preflop: Considering he just minraised and plays really loose we can also 3-bet here. How does he play versus a 3-bet?

      Flop: While we have some equity here villain also has quite a few hands that can continue versus our raise. If we had the backdoor flush draw as well I'd like our raise more.

      He rarely cbets and makes it really big which would make me question his hand (he is trying to represent a strong hand looking for max value/protection), do we know if this is his standard or we don't have any reads on bet sizing (we have a ton of hands on him)?

      At first glance, without more info, I'd simply ck/fold this flop.

      With A9ss I can see us check raising.

      Turn: As played I'd expect him to bet/3bet a lot of hands on that flop so the call is usually hands like 66, A6s (no hearts), 77, maybe 88-99 and some 5x like 56s and 5As.

      Can we really get value from any? And can we expect him to turn 77-99 or anything else into a bluff?

      I'd say the answer to the above is no so when he bets he either has an Ax hand or 6x hand so I wouldn't want to check/raise there. We can expect him to bet Ax because our range also contains sets that take this line on flop (and fds) so he wants to get value/protect.

      So ck/calling is fine but on most rivers we can look at ck/folding as I can't expect him to bet river with Ax often as well.