[NL2-NL10] Rush NL10 67s OTB

    • BigAl123456
      Joined: 21.07.2010 Posts: 4,080
      Full Tilt, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, Rush, 9 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      UTG+2: $4.18 (41.8 bb)
      MP1: $10.66 (106.6 bb)
      MP2: $10 (100 bb)
      MP3: $9.80 (98 bb)
      CO: $11.85 (118.5 bb)-VPIP 11%-PFR 8%-PFAF 1.8-FT3Bet 53%(17)-FTFlCB 47%(32)-WTSD 30%-W$SD 51%(37)-Hands 1864
      Hero (BTN): $13.22 (132.2 bb)
      SB: $4.75 (47.5 bb)
      BB: $4 (40 bb)
      UTG+1: $20.87 (208.7 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with 6 7
      5 folds, CO raises to $0.30, Hero raises to $0.90, 2 folds, CO calls $0.60

      Flop: ($1.95) 4 6 Q (2 players)
      CO checks, Hero bets $1.05, CO calls $1.05

      Turn: ($4.05) 3 (2 players)
      CO checks, Hero checks

      River: ($4.05) 7 (2 players)
      CO bets $2.63, Hero calls $2.63

      $9.31 pot ($0.62 rake)
      Final Board: 4 6 Q 3 7
      CO showed T J and lost (-$4.58 net)
      Hero showed 6 7 and won $8.69 ($4.11 net)

      CO is Nitty with high steal % under 2k hands and Blinds are both TAGy,

      I think looking at his Fold to 3Bet stat now this might be a bad spot to resteal evn tho I have position, I dont think I can raise the River?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi BigAl,

      Preflop: Are we looking at his overall steal% here or just the CO steal %? We should always check the steal % (pfr) per position after we have a big sample like this.

      He seems really nitty so I can't see him having a huge steal % in the CO.

      So the 3-bet is a bit thin as a bluff (especially seems to not fold to 3-bet and not many cbets either)

      Flop: Cbet is fine and size is fine as well.

      Turn: Once he calls it's hard to get him to fold a pair on this blank and we can't really bet for value or bluff.

      River: As played he may have sets sometimes but I wouldn't expect that. He has KK sometimes along with AQ/KQ so I would actually raise here. I can't see much of anything that beats us except some QQ/44/66 combos.