[NL2-NL10] ato

    • Dracsharp
      Dracsharp
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2010 Posts: 2,478
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($5.65)
      BB ($5.34)
      UTG ($5)
      UTG+1 ($5.10)
      CO ($6.13)
      BTN ($6.78)

      Dealt to Hero A:diamond: T:spade:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.15, BB calls $0.10

      FLOP ($0.30) A:heart: 5:diamond: J:club:

      Hero checks, BB bets $0.25, Hero calls $0.25

      TURN ($0.80) A:heart: 5:diamond: J:club: 8:heart:

      Hero checks, BB bets $0.70, Hero calls $0.70

      RIVER ($2.20) A:heart: 5:diamond: J:club: 8:heart: 9:diamond:

      Hero checks, BB bets $1.35, Hero calls $1.35

      Hero shows A:diamond: T:spade:
      (Pre 27%, Flop 2.8%, Turn 0.0%)

      BB shows A:club: J:diamond:
      (Pre 73%, Flop 97.2%, Turn 100.0%)

      BB wins $4.58

  • 3 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Dracsharp,

      Preflop: looks good.

      Flop/turn: Considering that he folds a lot to cbets and that he bets a lot when given a chance I would also check/call here at least flop/turn.

      River: Considering he is passive on the river and that the board didn't change much at all can we see him continuing his bluff?

      To me this looks more like a valubet so the only question is if he can valuebet worse. At first glance this is closer to a fold.

      What range do you give villain on the river, once he bets.
    • Dracsharp
      Dracsharp
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2010 Posts: 2,478
      I just couldn't let it go he is not doing this with anything worse then mine which he bets for value, but from his elevated aggression i just took the odds that he maybe bluffing 28% of the time.

      Didn't feel right then don't feel right now, but his river aggression could show false value over 34 sample and 21 is bit below average but he could still fire a bluff especially ip after an oop river check.
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      His small river bet does give us better odds to call but also looks like a valuebet.

      I just can't see what hands can 3-barrel here unless he just picks random hands to bluff with (which is possible).