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[NL20-NL50] NL25 SH - A8o: river

    • Lunitis
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,136
      78% fold bb vs steal
      0.4% 3bet (read flat AK and QQ)
      51% fold vs cbet flop
      63% fold vs cbet turn
      1/1 fold vs cbet river
      32% wtsd
      59% w$sd
      729 hands

      [converted_hand][hand_history]Party, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      SB: $11.63 (46.5 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $21.55 (86.2 bb)
      MP: $24.94 (99.8 bb)
      CO: $26.02 (104.1 bb)
      BB: $35.94 (143.8 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with 8:club: A:heart:
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, SB folds, BB calls $0.50

      Flop: ($1.60) 8:heart: 9:heart: 8:spade: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.14, BB calls $1.14

      Turn: ($3.88) 4:heart: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $2.46, BB calls $2.46

      River: ($8.80) 9:spade: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero ?

      Value bet river? How much?
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909
      Since you know for sure he calls overpairs preflop and you beat a turned flush I would definitely value bet. He does have some 9x in his range but not that many since he folds quite often his BB vs a raise so he is more likely to defend high cards and pairs. I would be a somewhat standard 5.50 - 6. I can't find a reason to bet bigger or smaller given that he there's nothing special about his range or ours here.