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[NL20-NL50] NL25 SH - AQs: co vs bu MSS

    • Lunitis
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,136
      10.4 3bet
      7.1% at BU vs CO
      61% fold vs 4bet
      78% cbet 3bet pot
      67% (24) fold cbet vs raise 3bet pot
      59% cbet turn 3bet pot
      14k hands

      SB: 45/29
      15% 3bet
      22% sqz
      215 hands

      BB tight reg

      Hero fold 62% vs 3bet, 4% 4bet range

      MP: $19.34 (77.4 bb)
      Hero (CO): $44.55 (178.2 bb)
      BTN: $12.17 (48.7 bb)
      SB: $13.85 (55.4 bb)
      BB: $18.37 (73.5 bb)
      UTG: $14.21 (56.8 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with Q:club: A:club:
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.65, BTN raises to $1.50, 2 folds, Hero :evil:

      I think the shove here is very close to break even or even slightly -ev.
      His stats are decent to explore pos-flop. Can we consider the call here?
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909
      What's your range for calling here? What's your plan for postflop? What board textures will you attack, which will you play passively on, which aggresively?

      These midstack players usually barrel off a depolarized range so it's hard to actually do anything against them unless you just flop better which is why I dislike calling. I prefer making a very small 4bet and calling it off. You have folding equity and the spazz factor on these midstackers is amazing. Quite often you see them shove stuff like Ax from my experience. Just make sure he is a legit midstacker and not random player with 50bbs. Not the case here obv, but I mean in general.