[NL20-NL50] NL50 99 3bet pot vs aggro

    • double2
      double2
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 04.11.2008 Posts: 14,642
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Reproduzir mão

      $0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      SB:
      $146.55
      BB:
      $54.36
      MP2 (Hero):
      $50.00
      MP3:
      $52.12
      CO:
      $49.25
      BU:
      $82.49


      Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 9, 9.
      Hero raises to $1.50, 3 folds, SB raises to $5.00, BB folds, Hero calls $3.50.

      Flop: ($10.5) 2, Q, 8 (2 players)
      SB bets $5.25, Hero calls $5.25.

      Turn: ($21) A (1 players)
      SB bets $10.50

      Villain 1.3k hands
      28/24/10.6
      3bet BB 10%
      3bet vs open UTG 11%(75) (3bet vs open MP -> 8%)
      cbet flop in 3bet pot 79% (19)
      cbet turn in 3bet pot 73% (11)
      WTSD 30%
      WWSF 51%
      Agg freq 54/43/35
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Is he also 3betting a lot against you specifically? Make sure to not get fooled by people's average thinking that's what they do against you as a standard as well.

      If the stats are right I think you can consider 4betting as well. I don't know his range to 3bet/5bet here but his 3bet percentage is what you see from people when they play vs BU. It's basically huge. If you don't open wide in UTG you exploit him by default with your strong hands so you don't have to go into a spewy 3bet/4bet/5bet game with him.

      Moving on from this, I think 99 is good enough to call but you need to be quite confident in your postflop approach against him. Furthermore, if he 3bets with a depolarized range (with many high cards) you sort of have to give up often, problem being that he barrels with very high frequency. If he does that on boards that hit his range, there's nothing you can really do about it.

      In this specific hand I think calling flop is OK and then fold the turn. Your FD is not good, he has AK, AQ, AA, QQ, flushes in his range already and if you call here you can expect a river shove a high percentage of the time.