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[NL2-NL10] JJ on drawy board

    • SillySaurus
      SillySaurus
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.01.2010 Posts: 206
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($10.19)
      BB ($10)
      UTG ($12.82)
      UTG+1 ($11.07)
      CO ($16.11)
      BTN ($10)

      Dealt to Hero J:diamond: J:spade:

      fold, fold, CO calls $0.10, fold, Hero raises to $0.40, BB calls $0.30, CO calls $0.30

      FLOP ($1.20) 6:spade: 8:spade: T:diamond:

      Hero bets $0.90, BB folds, CO calls $0.90

      TURN ($3) 6:spade: 8:spade: T:diamond: 2:diamond:

      Hero bets $2.13, CO calls $2.13

      RIVER ($7.26) 6:spade: 8:spade: T:diamond: 2:diamond: 6:diamond:

      Hero bets $1.60, CO raises to $4.20, Hero calls $2.60

      [Spoiler]Hero shows J:diamond: J:spade:
      (Pre 68%, Flop 66.1%, Turn 63.6%)

      CO shows Q:diamond: 9:diamond:
      (Pre 32%, Flop 33.9%, Turn 36.4%)

      CO wins $14.88[/spoiler]

      Villain is 47/12/2, cbet 100, fold to cbet 34, 500 hands.
      He had earlier reraised me 2x my raise on the flop and folded the turn when I called. he did this 2 times.

      Preflop: I put him on mostly suited cards and pairs.

      Flop: He might have a draw since he would probably protect trips here.

      Turn: Calling here makes me put him on a draw and most likely a flush draw with spades or a straight draw.

      River: I think he probably missed his draw because the 6 doesnt help his straight, and only help a diamond flush draw with I think is kinda unlikely because he probably wouldn't call the flop bet then.
      He has a normal"Bet river" stat and WTSD stat, but because I feel like its so unlikely he hit trips or a flush I feel I have to call with 17% pot odds.

      Thoughts? ^_^
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Chewbroccoli,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Flop/turn: looks fine

      River: Since we know he is capable of bluff raising (at least on earlier streets) I don't mind the inducer bet however are we ready to bet/call any bet here?

      Alternatively, we can just check to him to let him bluff his missed draws (if he is aggressive).