[NL2-NL10] QQ vs reraise on flop

    • SillySaurus
      Joined: 27.01.2010 Posts: 206
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($10.42)
      BB ($8.20)
      UTG ($13.26)
      UTG+1 ($10.13)
      CO ($10)
      BTN ($12.04)

      Dealt to Hero Q:diamond: Q:heart:

      fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $0.30, Hero raises to $0.90, fold, BTN calls $0.60

      FLOP ($1.90) T:spade: 8:heart: 7:spade:

      Hero bets $1.60, BTN raises to $4, Hero raises to $9.52 (AI), BTN calls $5.52

      TURN ($20.94) T:spade: 8:heart: 7:spade: 9:heart:

      RIVER ($20.94) T:spade: 8:heart: 7:spade: 9:heart: 3:heart:

      BTN shows 8:spade: 8:diamond:
      (Pre 19%, Flop 89.7%, Turn 81.8%)

      Hero shows Q:diamond: Q:heart:
      (Pre 81%, Flop 10.3%, Turn 18.2%)

      BTN wins $19.94

      Villain is 20/14/4, fold to 3bet 33%, check-raise on flop 20% (5 times), 251 hands.

      He might have Ax of spades, 9x, TT, 88, 77 in his range, so I guess I should have folded even though he check-raises more than usual and I was thinking there was a chance he was bluffing.
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Chewbroccoli,

      Preflop: looks fine but OOP we can 3-bet to 10-12x here.

      Flop: his ck/raise stat is 20% over 5 hands. That's one hand out of those 5, it's not a sample. So do not base your play at all on that stat.

      At these limits, especially after we cbet so much we can easily bet/fold.

      He rarely ever raises anything worse. Best case scenario for us, and even then we are flipping he raises AQss (AKss).