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[NL2-NL10] Nl5 33

    • metza
      Joined: 28.01.2012 Posts: 2,220
      PokerStars - $0.05 NL - Holdem - 7 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      BB: $5.70
      UTG: $12.77
      Hero (UTG+1): $5.05
      MP: $5.00
      CO: $5.71
      BTN: $1.21
      SB: $8.24

      SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.05

      Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero has 3:heart: 3:club:

      UTG raises to $0.20, Hero calls $0.20, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold

      Flop: ($0.47, 2 players) A:heart: T:diamond: 3:spade:
      UTG bets $0.30, Hero calls $0.30

      Turn: ($1.07, 2 players) 4:spade:
      UTG checks, Hero bets $0.60, UTG calls $0.60

      River: ($2.27, 2 players) T:spade:
      UTG checks, Hero bets $1.65, UTG calls $1.65

      Hero shows 3:heart: 3:club: (Full House, Threes full of Tens) (Pre 50%, Flop 93%, Turn 100%)
      UTG mucks K:diamond: A:diamond: (Two Pair, Aces and Tens) (Pre 50%, Flop 7%, Turn 0%)
      Hero wins $5.34

      Villain is quite nitty post, 25/5/18
      I think 5%PFR and 18% AFq is enough to know that he almost for sure has the ace when he cbets.
      But I think he's such a nit that if I reraise he's snap folding AJ, folding AQ and possibly even AK.

      Did I miss some value here? I think I can easily represent a weaker Ace by flatting the flop and betting turn and river when checked to. The fact he's playing for pot control with AK makes me think I probably wasn't gonna be able to stack him unless he hit 2 pair or trips (or the nut flush) anyway.
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Metza,

      Preflop: looks fine.

      Flop: Can we really imagine a nit snap folding Ax here? He only has the premium aces and these guys don't fold them easy (that's why we recommend that you don't try to bluff them off TP/overpairs).

      So based on the above I'd actually raise the flop and bet turn/river.

      As played bet closer to pot on turn and river, he's never folding.