[NL2-NL10] t9s

    • Dracsharp
      Dracsharp
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2010 Posts: 2,478
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Replayer
      SB ($6.26)
      BB ($8.44)
      Hero ($5.90)
      BTN ($5.07)

      Dealt to Hero T:spade: 9:spade:

      Hero raises to $0.15, BTN calls $0.15, SB calls $0.13, fold

      FLOP ($0.50) 6:spade: 9:heart: K:spade:

      SB checks, Hero bets $0.35, BTN folds, SB calls $0.35

      TURN ($1.20) 6:spade: 9:heart: K:spade: 8:diamond:

      SB checks, Hero checks

      RIVER ($1.20) 6:spade: 9:heart: K:spade: 8:diamond: 5:spade:

      SB checks, Hero bets $0.80, SB raises to $3.60, Hero calls $2.80

      Hero shows T:spade: 9:spade:
      (Pre 70%, Flop 96.6%, Turn 88.6%)

      SB shows 8:spade: 4:spade:
      (Pre 30%, Flop 3.4%, Turn 11.4%)

      Hero wins $7.84

  • 3 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Dracsharp,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Flop: Looks fine. bet size is fine as well.

      Turn: There's not a lot of value left however we can still get called by draws so we could make a 1/2 pot bet, however checking back is fine too.

      River: Normally I would say we need to bet fold here because there are more better FDs than worse and usually worse ones don't raise as often as better ones.

      If he raises 84ss he also raises:
      1) better flushes: AsQs,AsJs,QsJs,As8s,Qs8s,Js8s,As7s,Qs7s,Js7s,8s7s,As4s,Qs4s,Js4s, As3s,Qs3s,Js3s,,As2s,Qs2s,Js2s

      2) worse flushes: 8s4s,7s4s,8s3s,7s3s,4s3s8s2s,7s2s,4s2s,3s2s

      He may not even play half of those worse flushes but let's assume he does.

      That means that we win about 35% of the time.

      Pot odds for his raise: 36%

      So in the best case scenario for us we are around break even (less when considering rake).

      So as you can see it's a bet/fold.
    • Dracsharp
      Dracsharp
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2010 Posts: 2,478
      I agree against only flush it is the most marginal call ever, however can you be sure he doesn't play like this with some of his straights ? He was obviously eager to potsize raise me with his trapping.

      Even only t7 would make us look pretty.
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by Dracsharp
      I agree against only flush it is the most marginal call ever, however can you be sure he doesn't play like this with some of his straights ? He was obviously eager to potsize raise me with his trapping.

      Even only t7 would make us look pretty.
      Can we really expect a fishy passive guy to raise a straight, for pot size, on such a board? I personally wouldn't.