[NL2-NL10] NL5 6max - K2s BB steal

    • painterman007
      painterman007
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.05.2009 Posts: 82
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Replayer
      SB ($2.02)
      BB ($2.38)
      UTG ($1)
      CO ($2.34)
      Hero ($2.03)

      Dealt to Hero K:spade: 2:spade:

      fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.15, fold, BB calls $0.10

      FLOP ($0.32) 8:heart: 8:diamond: 6:club:

      BB checks, Hero bets $0.23, BB calls $0.23

      TURN ($0.78) 8:heart: 8:diamond: 6:club: 6:heart:

      BB checks, Hero checks

      RIVER ($0.78) 8:heart: 8:diamond: 6:club: 6:heart: 8:club:

      BB bets $2 (AI), Hero ???
      ____________________________________________

      Pre:
      Standard 3x raise mainly to play with SB or steal. Attemting a steal with a playable hand, suited, bluffcatcher potential.
      Flop:
      I bet smallish on a dry board to take it down. Putting him on medium suited connectors, high cards and possibly small PP.
      Turn:
      I calm down because he called flop, and check behind. I give him almost the same range as flop.
      river:
      The house comes and he insta-shoves.

      $1,65 to win $1,2 (considering I can only split pot)
      I see him doing this with many many hands which all lead to him playing the board. Still.. seems like i will have to split alot to profit. I couldnt manage to calculate how many times i must split pot to profit, can you help?

      My decision:
      I folded, because I had no chance of winning, and though there was quite a bit of "dead" money I felt the bet to call + rake was too expensive in the long run.
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hey Painterman,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Flop: This is a flop where I don't expect to have much fold equity so we have to bet multiple streets. Considering our hand I would simply check back the flop and go for a delayed cbet (if he bets we fold).

      As played I'd just fold the river, he can have plenty of better fullhouses.