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[NL2-NL10] NL2SH - KK - bet/3b flop line

    • muel294
      Joined: 06.06.2009 Posts: 1,225
      Villains is 38/15/0/0/100/13 hands - pretty unknown but I have seen him play pretty loose and passive thus far.
      1) preflop he had flat AKo OOP from the blinds vs my CO o/r
      2) x/c'd the F OOP w/ A-hi

      Flop: Normally against a full stack OOP I play bet/fold. Should I do the same vs his stack size? I was expecting him to stack off with something like:

      Board: 5:spade: 3:diamond: T:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    43.23%  42.48%   0.75% { KsKc }
      CO     56.77%  56.02%   0.75% { AA, QQ-JJ, 55, 33, KdKh, TdTh, TdTs, ThTs, ATs, T5s, T3s, 53s, ATo, T5o, T3o, 53o }

      So I would imagine bet/3b is overplayed here?


      PokerStars - $0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      SB: $4.91
      BB: $1.78
      Hero (UTG): $2.00
      MP: $1.27
      CO: $1.29 BTN: $2.57

      SB posts SB $0.01, BB posts BB $0.02

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.03) Hero has K:club: K:spade:

      Hero raises to $0.06, fold, CO calls $0.06, fold, fold, fold

      Flop: ($0.15, 2 players) 5:spade: 3:diamond: T:club:
      Hero bets $0.09, CO raises to $0.26, Hero raises to $1.94 and is all-in, CO calls $0.97 and is all-in

      Turn: ($2.61, 2 players) 4:heart:

      River: ($2.61, 2 players) 7:spade:

      Hero shows K:club: K:spade: (One Pair, Kings) (Pre 82%, Flop 92%, Turn 95%)
      CO shows Q:spade: Q:diamond: (One Pair, Queens) (Pre 18%, Flop 8%, Turn 5%)
      Hero wins $2.52
  • 2 replies
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Muel,

      I would personally take out the T5o, T3o, 53o. These hands can be added once someone's VPIp gets to around 70% and while the sample isn't huge he hasn't played all hands so far.

      With those hands removed we are close to a flip.

      And considering his stack size I can see him getting the money in here with maybe a few more Tx hands.
    • muel294
      Joined: 06.06.2009 Posts: 1,225
      well I originally didn't fator these hands in his range but then I felt since I don't know much about the villain I couldn't rule out these combos.