[NL2-NL10] mp AK, bet for value on the river?

    • Imimba1
      Imimba1
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.12.2011 Posts: 2,897
      Poker Stars $5.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2032989
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BB: $14.07 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 15, 3B: 8, AF: 4.0, Hands: 52
      UTG: $7.51 - VPIP: 45, PFR: 17, 3B: 5, AF: 0.8, Hands: 210 WTS:35, Fto3b: 0/3; open from utg: 4/20
      Hero (MP): $5.13 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 16, 3B: 4, AF: 2.0, Hands: 64177
      CO: $22.08 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 17, 3B: 5, AF: 0.0, Hands: 110
      BTN: $4.07 - VPIP: 37, PFR: 7, 3B: 11, AF: 2.8, Hands: 43
      SB: $12.50 - VPIP: 27, PFR: 7, 3B: 20, AF: 0.0, Hands: 15

      Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero is MP with A :club: K :spade:
      UTG raises to $0.10, Hero raises to $0.28, 4 folds, UTG calls $0.18

      Flop: ($0.63) Q :spade: 6 :club: A :diamond: (2 players)
      UTG checks, Hero bets $0.46, UTG calls $0.46

      Turn: ($1.55) 4 :spade: (2 players)
      UTG checks, Hero bets $1.16, UTG calls $1.16

      River: ($3.87) Q :heart: (2 players)
      UTG checks, Hero? Can I bet for value? Only a pot-sized bet left. If he has a Q, I'm kind of screwed. Too thin?
  • 4 replies
    • straywolf
      straywolf
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.12.2009 Posts: 203
      what is his fold to c/betin3bpot and fold to c/beton turn.

      probably too thin, even the hands that you're trying to get value here, mainly : AJ, AT might find a fold on the river in the 3bet pot where you bet bet shove.

      dont mind checking back, going for showdown. i think theres value because :
      1)hands like JT, KJ, KT, AJ, AT all you beat.
      2)you get to see what he calls 2 street in 3bpot with, and what he open/call OOP with.
      3)not forgetting this guy is capable of check/calling off with KQ, JQ, AQ.
      4)and there are times when he makes his 6highfullhouse that likely plays this way.
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hey Imimba,

      Preflop: looks fine although we could 3-bet larger too

      Flop/turn: looks fine

      River: While a Qx is possible (AQ/QK/QJ) so is AJ/AT that would rarely ever fold here.

      So
      AQ/KQ/QJs are 12 combos
      AJ/AT are 16 combos

      Now of course villain may never actually open QJ or have some slowplayed 66 sets but overall I still think we can valuebet. He may even have other worse Ax hands (and there's a chance he donks some Qx on river). Villain may even have KK that called pre and called down.
    • Imimba1
      Imimba1
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.12.2011 Posts: 2,897
      Originally posted by BogdanPS
      Hey Imimba,

      Preflop: looks fine although we could 3-bet larger too

      Flop/turn: looks fine

      River: While a Qx is possible (AQ/QK/QJ) so is AJ/AT that would rarely ever fold here.

      So
      AQ/KQ/QJs are 12 combos
      AJ/AT are 16 combos

      Now of course villain may never actually open QJ or have some slowplayed 66 sets but overall I still think we can valuebet. He may even have other worse Ax hands (and there's a chance he donks some Qx on river). Villain may even have KK that called pre and called down.
      +1
    • MonaiPlox
      MonaiPlox
      Bronze
      Joined: 04.10.2010 Posts: 1,048
      What would be correct bet on the river? 1$? Are we bet/folding in that case?