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[NL20-NL50] 66 3barrel bluff

    • Gonchan
      Joined: 14.06.2011 Posts: 2,877
      Party, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      SB: $56.36 (112.7 bb)
      MP1: $41.11 (82.2 bb)
      CO: $135.93 (271.9 bb)
      UTG+1: $159.66 (319.3 bb)
      Hero (UTG+2): $50 (100 bb)
      MP2: $43.21 (86.4 bb)
      MP3: $50 (100 bb)
      BB: $50 (100 bb)
      BTN: $69.05 (138.1 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG+2 with 6 6
      UTG+1 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, MP1 folds, MP2 calls $1.50, 2 folds, BTN calls $1.50, 2 folds

      Flop: ($5.25) 2 5 3 (3 players)
      Hero bets $3.32, MP2 calls $3.32, BTN calls $3.32

      Turn: ($15.21) T (3 players)
      Hero bets $9.63, MP2 folds, BTN calls $9.63

      River: ($34.47) Q (2 players)
      Hero bets $35.55 and is all-in, BTN folds

      $34.47 pot ($1.72 rake)
      Final Board: 2 5 3 T Q
      Hero mucked 6 6 and won $32.75 ($18.30 net)
      BTN mucked and lost (-$14.45 net)

      MP 86/7/74 BTN 23/18/401 call open 10 ftcb 50

      I thought turn T is lag and BTN's 2 times call on drawy board was JJ, 99.
      So I shove river as bluff.

      Is it considerable play?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Gonchan,

      Preflop: Looks fine

      Postflop: Do we know anything about BTN?

      This is villain dependent because I can see BTN raising hands like JJ preflop (to iso MP2 fish) or on this wet low flop for value/protection.

      So his range in my mind, considering him an unknown, would be 44, 77-99, maybe A5s/A4s like A5ss, A4ss and fds.

      On the river we can get 24+ combos of hands to fold (if that's the range he has) and we get called by all the flush draws that got there.

      Depending on how wide his preflop calling range is he shouldn't have more than 15-20 combos of flush draws (if even that many).

      And since our bluff has to work roughly 50% of the time I think it's fine (of course if you do have info on villain please post it so we can take another look).