[NL2-NL10] a9o

    • Dracsharp
      Dracsharp
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2010 Posts: 2,478
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Replayer
      SB ($2)
      BB ($7.52)
      UTG ($5.43)
      UTG+1 ($8.74)
      Hero ($5)
      BTN ($2.15)

      Dealt to Hero 9:club: A:heart:

      fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.15, BTN raises to $0.74, fold, fold, Hero raises to $3.15, BTN calls $1.41 (AI)

      FLOP ($4.37) 3:club: 6:diamond: J:diamond:

      TURN ($4.37) 3:club: 6:diamond: J:diamond: 4:club:

      RIVER ($4.37) 3:club: 6:diamond: J:diamond: 4:club: K:heart:

      Hero shows 9:club: A:heart:
      (Pre 59%, Flop 74.3%, Turn 68.2%)

      BTN shows 5:spade: K:spade:
      (Pre 41%, Flop 25.7%, Turn 31.8%)

      BTN wins $4.08

  • 3 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hey Dracsharp,

      Preflop: This guy seems to be a maniac.

      Did you expect to have much FE when 4-beting all in? I doubt he folds much once he 3-bets that big.

      We need about 46% equity to shove here assuming 0 FE.

      Against a 17% range like 77+,A2s+,K4s+,Q9s+,J9s+,T9s,ATo+,KJo+ we only have 45%.

      Let's say he 3-bet calls 27% of his range then we have, 22+,A2s+,K4s+,Q9s+,J9s+,T8s+,98s,86s+,75s+,65s,54s,A8o+,KTo+,QTo+,JTo, 49% equity

      So as you can see we are just gambling for the most part.
    • Dracsharp
      Dracsharp
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2010 Posts: 2,478
      He doesn't pick his range like me and you would while i agree it is almost just increasing variance, he doesn't need a legit card to 3b me, and he is most likely overplaying suited and Ax type hands, i predicted about around 50-50 55-45 equity 10%- chance of folding to it.

      I would have folded a8o and equilab agrees, so this was close.

      What is the minimum you would have pushed against him ?
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by Dracsharp
      He doesn't pick his range like me and you would while i agree it is almost just increasing variance, he doesn't need a legit card to 3b me, and he is most likely overplaying suited and Ax type hands, i predicted about around 50-50 55-45 equity 10%- chance of folding to it.

      I would have folded a8o and equilab agrees, so this was close.

      What is the minimum you would have pushed against him ?
      Of course he doesn't pick the range like us but I should two examples of equilab. You can mix those ranges up and in the best case scenario we are at 55% equity (and that's pushing it). When we need 46% plus just to break even you can see that our best case scenario is not far from that and our worse case scenario is really far from it.

      I would say that anything about 60-65% equity may be a good push (against whatever range you think he 3-bets here simply because I don't think he is ever 3-bet folding). For example without looking at Equilab, as if we were to play a session live, I'd go ATs+, AJo+, 99+ and if we need to tighten up we can take out the bottom hands from each.