[NL20-NL50] NL50SH: K6s

    • kosmonaut111
      Joined: 26.01.2009 Posts: 715
      Party, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $51.79 (103.6 bb)
      SB: $60.02 (120 bb)
      CO: $50.75 (101.5 bb)
      UTG: $51.25 (102.5 bb)
      MP: $40.46 (80.9 bb)
      Hero (BB): $50.75 (101.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with K 6
      UTG folds, MP calls $0.50, 3 folds, Hero checks

      Flop: ($1.25) K K 7 (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP bets $1.19, Hero calls $1.19

      Turn: ($3.63) J (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP bets $2.58, Hero calls $2.58

      River: ($8.79) T (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP bets $8.36, Hero raises to $46.48 and is all-in, MP calls $27.83

      Opponent is an unknown fish: 20/0 over 10 hands.
      probably should just go bet bet bet here.
      Is shoving the river an overplay?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      1) I'll bet bet bet as you said.
      2) Well if we think he's never folding KX than perhaps it could be fine. Why don't you try to put him on a range of hands and then count the combos? If he's 20/0 over a small sample, does it mean he limps with stuff like AK or KQ? You could try to discount these combos of stronger broadways from his range.

      The thing though, is that 3 Ks are out, leaving only one King left. And given that his VPIP is 20 and not 80, that leaves him with far fewer KX hands that he could potentially have.