[NL2-NL10] Tt

    • straywolf
      straywolf
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.12.2009 Posts: 203
      Full Tilt Poker $5.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2033418
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      CO: $4.93 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 12, 3B: 2, AF: 2.8, Hands: 372
      Hero (BTN): $5.12 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 20, 3B: 7, AF: 3.3, Hands: 53680
      SB: $5.54 - VPIP: 12, PFR: 12, 3B: 0, AF: 1.0, Hands: 25
      BB: $11.96 - VPIP: 10, PFR: 10, 3B: 6, AF: 0.5, Hands: 39
      UTG: $13.23 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 13, 3B: 12, AF: 2.0, Hands: 69
      MP: $4.77 - VPIP: 25, PFR: 25, 3B: 0, AF: 0.5, Hands: 8

      Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero is BTN with T :diamond: T :club:
      1 fold, MP raises to $0.10, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.10, 2 folds

      Flop: ($0.27) Q :spade: 6 :spade: Q :diamond: (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero bets $0.20, MP calls $0.20

      Turn: ($0.67) 5 :diamond: (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero bets $0.42, MP calls $0.42

      River: ($1.51) 5 :club: (2 players)
      MP bets $1.60, Hero folds

      River donk?
  • 3 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Straywolf,

      Preflop: vs a min raise from a less than 100 BB stack we can most likely 3-bet this for value on the BTN

      Flop/turn: Our thin value cbets are fine

      River: well, for one we get 33% pot odds.

      So we have to look and see what hands we think are value-betting there and if we beat any (for example do you think he pots 99 there?) and then look at potential bluff hands (missed FDs).

      So what do you think those ranges are?
    • straywolf
      straywolf
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.12.2009 Posts: 203
      i simply cannot imagine draws (FD) to play like that, why not bet on the flop and turn instead.
      he checked and i bet twice into him, and he thinks i dont have it and just donkshove the river after playing his draws so passively on the first 2 streets?

      he could have 66-99, but is he really bluffing or value when he just donk on the river, when i could have higher PP, or even Q thats not folding. or sometimes a lower PP.
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by straywolf
      i simply cannot imagine draws (FD) to play like that, why not bet on the flop and turn instead.
      he checked and i bet twice into him, and he thinks i dont have it and just donkshove the river after playing his draws so passively on the first 2 streets?

      he could have 66-99, but is he really bluffing or value when he just donk on the river, when i could have higher PP, or even Q thats not folding. or sometimes a lower PP.
      That was the question. Can we, based on the information we have, assume that he can do those things?

      I agree with you that it's very unlikely especially potting the river.

      I can see him potentially potting the river as a bluff but I don't he pots it with 99.