[NL20-NL50] Nl50Sh: Aa

    • kosmonaut111
      kosmonaut111
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.01.2009 Posts: 715
      Party, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $63.08 (126.2 bb)
      Hero (MP): $77.51 (155 bb)
      BTN: $50 (100 bb)
      BB: $54.64 (109.3 bb)
      SB: $50 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with A A
      Hero raises to $1.50, CO calls $1.50, BTN calls $1.50, SB folds, BB calls $1

      Flop: ($6.25) 8 J 4 (4 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $4.80, CO calls $4.80, 2 folds

      Turn: ($15.85) T (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $9.50, Hero calls $9.50

      River: ($34.85) J (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $22, Hero calls $22

      Opponent is aggressive reg: 27/22 af 3,8 Aggfq F 48 T 36 R 33 3bIP 10%, and vs MP6,5%.
      How would you play this hand ?
      I think betting turn is better than checking.
      On river it is difficult: he probably bets often with missed draws, on the other hand he could realize that we have Jx in our range often and arent folding it. Also he is repping Jx well here.
  • 3 replies
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Checking the turn doesn't make much sense imo. You get value from 89, flushdraws, Jx, T9, etc. When you check it's like inviting villain to play well against you.

      I'm honestly not sure about the river because:
      a) Villain indeed has quite a few Jx hands in his range.
      b) I don't know how likely he is to bet/bet his T9, 89 and flushdraws.

      Some flushdraws have 8 or T in them so they are even more unlikely to bluff.

      What's his WTSD and W$SD? The best line here is to bet/bet and then check/decide river based on sizing, timing and river cards. As played, you can just about flip a coin imo. I usually lean towards a fold because I don't see people call flop then barrel off in a multiway pot with air. Like previously mentioned, he also represents value hands. JTs, TT, QJ, KJ, AJ are still in his range and play like this.
    • kosmonaut111
      kosmonaut111
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.01.2009 Posts: 715
      WTSD: 24 W$SD: 50 WWSF: 49

      I think it would still be a guessing game and maybe even towards fold on R.
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Originally posted by kosmonaut111
      WTSD: 24 W$SD: 50 WWSF: 49

      I think it would still be a guessing game and maybe even towards fold on R.

      Yeah, his stats look really standard reg type. You basically don't make much money when betting and don't make much when check/calling, not lose much when check/folding.

      I do however prefer to bet/fold turn and then decide river. I think you always get a call from 89, T9, QT, Jx while if you check those hands can check back sometimes and also he can check back flushdraws some of the times.