[NL2-NL10] RUSH NL10 BU AQ vs aggro sb 3bettor

    • sagettarius
      Joined: 14.07.2007 Posts: 694
      PartyGaming - $0.10 NL (6 max) FAST - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      Hero (BTN): $16.96
      SB: $11.29
      BB: $6.12
      UTG: $11.95
      MP: $4.85
      CO: $49.30

      SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has Q:club: A:diamond:

      fold, fold, CO raises to $0.30, Hero calls $0.30, SB raises to $1.40, fold, fold, Hero calls $1.10

      Flop: ($3.20, 2 players) 3:diamond: J:club: A:heart:
      SB checks, Hero checks

      Turn: ($3.20, 2 players) K:club:
      SB bets $2.15, Hero calls $2.15

      River: ($7.50, 2 players) 5:spade:
      SB bets $7.74 and is all-in, Hero ???

      SB 381 hands VPIP 13 PFR 11 3BET 14 (19/139) SB3BET 16 (8/49) Afq tot 41 flop 21 turn 51 river 56 WTSD 51 (16/30) W$SD 81 (13/16) WWSF 63 (19/30)
      No read, no history.

      Pre I assumed his 3bet range mostly Axs/Kxs and of course the value part TT+ AQ+, so I wanted to keep his range wide.

      On Flop checkbehind for value and I did not want to play for full stack, with TPTK on such a dry board.

      Turn as planned, I hoped some bet from weaker aces. He does not seems over agressive postflop, would he bluff in this spot?

      The question is the river. Does make sense a herocall without history, or easy fold?

      Pre 4bet would be better against such a tight, but relatively agressive 3bettor? 4bet/broke or 4bet/fold?

      And another question: what is the minimum sample size, when we can trust the 3bet stats/positional 3bet stats WTSD and WWSF?
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343

      Don´t think he would shove river worse hands, so I would likely fold. I would prefer betting for value on the flop, he would c/c with worse Ax hands and likely Jx, QQ/KK.

      If you get called you can bet/fold turn and likely again half bet on the blank river or check back turn and call river bet. Likely I would check back on J turn card, since that improved too many of his flop c/c range (mostly QJ, JJ and AJ)

      best regards,