[NL20-NL50] triple barrel failed

    • daisuke3823
      Joined: 05.02.2008 Posts: 8,321
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:


      $0.1/$0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      BB (Hero):

      Preflop: Hero is BB with K, J.
      MP2 folds, MP3 raises to $0.75, 2 folds, SB calls $0.65, Hero calls $0.50.

      Flop: ($2.25) 5, 2, 7 (3 players)
      SB checks, Hero checks, MP3 bets $1.00, SB folds, Hero raises to $3.00, MP3 calls $2.00.

      Turn: ($8.25) 6 (2 players)
      Hero bets $4.30, MP3 calls $4.30.

      River: ($16.85) T (2 players)
      Hero bets $8.30, MP3 calls $8.30.

      Final Pot: $33.45.
      Results follow:

      MP3 shows a pair of nines(9 9).
      Hero shows high card king(K J).

      MP3 wins with a pair of nines(9 9).
      his stats in 64 hands vpip24 pfr21 af0,8 wtsd50 w$sd25
      when we played this hand,his WTSD was a bit lower than this.
      should I just check fold on the river since that card is not great for bluff?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Daisuke,

      Based on our play what do you think villain's range is on that river?

      Can you expect him fold many hands that are better than ours when the flush missed especially for such a small 1/2 pot bet?

      Considering what you are trying to represent on the flop (big pairs, sets, some strong draws) I would bet bigger on turn and river (you need to sell your story).

      Turn the hand around and ask yourself this: wouldn't someone raise bigger on the flop and bet bigger on the turn with a set/2p/overpair/big fd? Afterall people bet a lot on drawy boards for value/protection.

      So as played the only hands we may get to fold that beat us are AQ/A9/A8 of hearts and all pairs will most likely still call.