[NL20-NL50] NL50 AJo 3bet pot

    • double2
      Joined: 04.11.2008 Posts: 14,642
      Boss, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      UTG: $71.53 (143.1 bb)
      MP: $50 (100 bb)
      Hero (CO): $51.43 (102.9 bb)
      BTN: $59.12 (118.2 bb)
      SB: $50.25 (100.5 bb)
      BB: $49.36 (98.7 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with A J
      UTG folds, MP raises to $1.43, Hero raises to $4.36, 3 folds, MP calls $2.93

      Flop: ($9.47) 9 4 A (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero bets $5, MP calls $5

      Turn: ($19.47) 5 (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero bets $10, MP raises to $40.64 and is all-in, Hero folds

      $39.47 pot ($1.95 rake)
      Final Board: 9 4 A 5
      MP mucked and won $37.52 ($18.16 net)
      Hero mucked A J and lost (-$19.36 net)

      Villain 2.7k hands
      open MP 25%
      fold to 3bet 39%
      4bet range 2.3%
      fold to cbet flop in 3bet pot 46% (35)
      fold to cbet turn in 3bet pot 4 in 10
      WTSD 28%
      WWSF 42%
      Agg freq 40/18/12

      Notes: calls me PF in the same spot with QQ (2 times) and J9s

      BU 23/19/11.9 squeeze 20,5%

      SB 24/20/5.9 sqz 3%

      BB 21/18/7.7 sqz 3.6%

      I got really confused whether to bet turn and chk back river or cbh turn and re-evaluate river. I though that that he still calls with worse, like TT-QQ with a :heart: or even maybe ATs. Dunno id it was too thin.
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909
      It is quite an interesting spot imo although most will say it's obvious.

      What I'm thinking of is our hand strength. He calls preflop with QQ and J9s, so he probably calls AK, AQ, AJ, 98s, and all that stuff too. This makes me think our hand is not awesome so my approach would be to get 2 streets of value actually.

      If you cbet flop I prefer betting turn because you have extra benefit of showdown value. When you get raised it seems like an easy fold imo. What I sometimes consider doing is checking back flop since against this specific opponent I wouldn't cbet much air here so I check back to give up more often than usual. Having a decent Ace in my range can only help imo and then you can bluffcatch 1-2 streets or value bet later streets when you also look like you can have TT-KK, not just Ax.

      Given that he looks to be somewhat passive on the turn and river so far, your line of bet/bet/decide river is probably better than checking back flop. What you have to remember is that your hand is still not awesome postflop. The preflop 3bet is for thin value thus a pair with 3rd kicker best is not an improvement from that 'thin value' rank you can give the hand. Keep in mind he's already shown he calls significantly better as well (QQ), not just random crap preflop like J9s (it's crap in this spot, not in general :D )