[NL20-NL50] river fold?

    • daisuke3823
      Joined: 05.02.2008 Posts: 8,321
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:


      $0.1/$0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      BB (Hero):

      Preflop: Hero is BB with A, K.
      3 folds, BU raises to $0.75, SB folds, Hero raises to $2.40, BU calls $1.65.

      Flop: ($4.9) J, 7, J (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.60, BU calls $2.60.

      Turn: ($10.1) T (2 players)
      Hero checks, BU checks.

      River: ($10.1) Q (2 players)
      Hero bets $3.90, BU raises to $22.54(All-In), Hero calls $16.10.

      Final Pot: $52.64.
      Results follow:

      Hero shows a straight, ace high(A K).
      BU shows a full-house, tens full of jacks(T T).

      BU wins with a full-house, tens full of jacks(T T).

      he is unknown,should I fold on the river cuz I can imagine he could have JT,JQ?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Daisuke,

      On the river what range can you see villain bluffing with? We are betting really small so that may induce some spew but it's hard to assume that from an unknown.

      As played villain could call the flop with 88,99,TT, QQ and some AQ/AK/KQ (and AJ/KJ/JQ/JT if he calls those preflop).

      On the turn I can see him checking most of his range except some Jx hands that could bet for value/protection.

      The only hands we really beat on the river are AQ floats, maybe KQ and 88-99 which are most likely folding.

      So actually I can't see us getting a ton of value. But if we do bet I think it should be a bet/fold. I can't see anything worse shoving here, especially as a bluff.