[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL50 T9s

    • duder1n0
      duder1n0
      Gold
      Joined: 07.07.2009 Posts: 5,317
      Prima, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players

      SB: $69.87 (139.7 bb)
      BB: $50.75 (101.5 bb)
      UTG: $90.46 (180.9 bb)
      MP: $50 (100 bb)
      CO: $40.24 (80.5 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $50 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with T 9
      2 folds, CO calls $0.50, Hero raises to $2, 2 folds, CO calls $1.50

      Flop: ($4.75) 8 T 2 (2 players)
      CO checks, Hero bets $3, CO calls $3

      Turn: ($10.75) Q (2 players)
      CO checks, Hero bets $7, CO raises to $14, Hero calls $7

      River: ($38.75) 6 (2 players)
      CO bets $19.25, Hero calls $19.25


      Anon table.

      CO was a fish on small sample.
      Checkback turn? As played, river? Should I fold for the odds given? His move is strong, but I dont know him at all, and flushdraws are busted... On the other side QT/T8/J9/88/22 are all valid combos he could have.
  • 2 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      Im not betting the turn. While we do habe a lot of draw equity i still think that only hands that have us beat are going to call again. Give the villain a ramge and calculate your equity, i domt think you have a value bet here. If u do, it shuld be a smaller bet to keep his range wide. Rmb that your kicker is weak and he could have many qx floats on flop with gutshots which improve.

      I guess after betting we aee committed to call but i dont expect him to fire river as blufd too often
    • duder1n0
      duder1n0
      Gold
      Joined: 07.07.2009 Posts: 5,317
      Originally posted by mbml
      Give the villain a ramge and calculate your equity
      Against his possible flop ch/call range my equity is not bad:

      Board: T:club: 8:club: 2:heart:  Q:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      CO     31.81%  29.95%   1.86% { 88-22, A8s, A2s, KTs, K8s, K2s, Q8s+, Q2s, J7s+, T7s+, 96s+, 85s+, 76s, 42s, 32s, Ac9c, Kc9c, Ac7c, Kc7c, Qc7c, Ac6c, Kc6c, Qc6c, Ac5c, Kc5c, Qc5c, 7c5c, 6c5c, Ac4c, Kc4c, Qc4c, 7c4c, 6c4c, 5c4c, Ac3c, Kc3c, Qc3c, 5c3c, 4c3c, A8o, A2o, KTo, K8o, Q9o+, J9o+, T9o, 98o, 87o }
      BU     68.19%  66.33%   1.86% { Th9h }


      But if I bet 7$ on the turn I fold out a significant part of this range, and he plays on with something like this:

      Board: T:club: 8:club: 2:heart:  Q:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      CO     49.98%  46.89%   3.10% { 88, 22, KTs, Q8s+, Q2s, J8s+, T7s+, 98s, Ac9c, Kc9c, Ah8h, Kh8h, Ac7c, Kc7c, Qc7c, Jh7h, Jc7c, 9c7c, 8h7h, Ac6c, Kc6c, Qc6c, 9c6c, 8h6h, 7h6h, 7c6c, Ac5c, Kc5c, Qc5c, 8h5h, 7c5c, 6c5c, Ac4c, Kc4c, Qc4c, 7c4c, 6c4c, 5c4c, Ac3c, Kc3c, Qc3c, 5c3c, 4c3c, Ac2c, Kc2c, 4c2c, 3c2c, KTo, Q9o+, J9o+, T9o, 98o }
      BU     50.02%  46.92%   3.10% { Th9h }