[NL2-NL10] ako

    • Dracsharp
      Dracsharp
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2010 Posts: 2,478
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Replayer
      SB ($4.97)
      BB ($1.29)
      UTG ($5.55)
      UTG+1 ($5.18)
      Hero ($5.36)
      BTN ($5)

      Dealt to Hero K:club: A:heart:

      fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.15, Hero calls $0.15, BTN calls $0.15, fold, BB calls $0.10

      FLOP ($0.62) 8:club: K:heart: 6:heart:

      BB checks, UTG+1 bets $0.49, Hero calls $0.49, BTN folds, BB folds

      TURN ($1.60) 8:club: K:heart: 6:heart: T:heart:

      UTG+1 bets $1.28, Hero calls $1.28

      RIVER ($4.16) 8:club: K:heart: 6:heart: T:heart: Q:spade:

      UTG+1 bets $3.26 (AI), Hero folds

      UTG+1 wins $3.89



      Was not sure what to make of this betting, his w$sd is high so is his aggression lowish, on turn both the 79 and the flush draw got there and sets might wisely check it, he might be overplaying tp but every kt,kq combination also beats me, his wild sizing on flop and my Ah card make me doubt he has flush so he must be overplaying something, right ?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hey Dracsharp,

      Preflop: looks fine. He's folded every 3-bet so far so it may not be as profitable to 3-bet him here especially since we have a short BB that may shove light.

      Flop: As played he does bet strong into 3 people and MP he opens 14% which may look something like this: 22+,ATs+,KJs+,QJs,ATo+,KJo+,QJo

      From those what would really bet 4-way this strong?

      Kx, FDs, Sets, AA maybe 99-QQ.

      Turn: on this turn I can't see him betting Kx and even AA may shut down (we have Ah) so his range is geared towards made flushes, sets and a rare bluff.

      Add the fact that he has been really passive over 40 hands and we are really behind here more often than not and we are chasing a 8 our draw (I'm discounting the 8h atm). Either way we don't get enough odds to call unless we think we have implied odds (which we may have a bit if we bet something like $1 on the river).